The seasonal outlook is updated every three months. Forecast availability is: Spring - March 1st, Summer - June 1st, Autumn - September 1st, Winter - December 1st.
Forecast Issued 28/02/2017
Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.
After a chilly start temperatures for much of the three month period are forecast to be above average. Rainfall is predicted to be slightly above average.
Slightly above average.
Close to average
Slightly above average
The first half of the month starts unsettled, with showers or longer spells of rain affecting all of the country at times. It will be rather cold, especially in northern regions where there is a risk of sleet or snow. During the second half of the period it remains quite unsettled but there is a better chance of dry spells in the south. Temperatures in the south are expected to become close to the seasonal average, but it remains rather cold in the north where there is a risk of snow. Overnight frost develops readily during drier interludes.
Temperatures are expected to be close to average in the south for much of the period, but in the north it could be quite cold at times. Showers or longer spells of rain affect all regions, and in the north there is a risk of snow over high ground and perhaps down to low levels on occasion.
Changeable weather is forecast with heavy showers or more persistent outbreaks of rain in all regions. Temperatures vary significantly with colder and milder than average spells. It may be cold enough at times for showers to turn wintry in the north, with sleet or snow over higher ground. Occasional overnight frost is also likely.
Changeable conditions continue but temperatures over the period as a whole probably will be above the seasonal average. As the forecast period progresses there may be an increasing chance of drier and warmer spells of weather, particularly in southern and central regions.
Slightly below average
The first half of the month is likely to bring warmer than average conditions, with a good deal of sunshine, but also heavy showers. Northern areas will possibly be cooler at times with more prolonged spells of rain.
Temperatures generally stay above the average and a reasonable amount of fine weather is expected. Less settled conditions return at times, especially towards the end of the month, with a chance of heavy showers or longer outbreaks of rain.
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