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Weather updates from site founder Brian Gaze that keep you in the know.


Unseasonable at times

Posted Sat, 25 Jun 2016 18:15

The last 48 hours have brought massive changes to the political landscape in the UK but the weather carries on in the same vein. The outlook remains an unsettled one and at times it could be very unseasonable.

Overview

During next week the UK will be sitting under a westerly flow with low pressure to the northwest and high pressure to the south. At times the pressure gradient looks likely to be quite steep for the time of year and this could bring some unseasonably windy weather.

The GFS12z pressure chart below is for 18:00 on Wednesday 29th July.  This sort of pattern wouldn't be out of place during the winter months and it's not what many of us wanting to be seeing as high summer approaches. 

GFS12z pressure chart

 

The GFS12z rainfall forecast chart for the same time paints a grim picture with persistent spells of rain. The temperature and wind speed charts which I'll not post (see the Chart viewer) add to the gloom.

 

GFS12z precipitation chart

Through the second half of next week I'm not expecting much change, although in the south there could be a better chance of drier and warmer interludes.

Summary

Summer continues to be on hold. June has brought spells of very wet weather and the early part of July probably brings more of the same. Towards the middle of July a few of the ensemble model runs indicate warmer weather but it's much too early to be confident in this outcome.

Chart viewer


Your comments

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martyn66.ms 8 years ago
Yes it seems that way yet again......but we shouldn't be surprised really, its our normal summer! As you say scottyduncan......the better weather will probably be in September/ October.

scottyduncan 8 years ago
This year seems to be shaping up into yet another unsatisfactory UK summer! Where's the Azores high? It seems to prefer Sept and October in most years recently!

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