The monthly outlook is based on output from various global forecasting models combined with our own analysis.
Slightly above average.
Above average in the north west. Large local variations in the south east.
Becoming much warmer.
The week begins with a good deal of sunny and warm weather in the west but in the east cooler and wetter conditions dominate. Through the second half of the week it becomes warm or very warm and there should be a lot of fine and sunny weather, however heavy showers and thunderstorms are likely to develop, especially in southern and western regions.
North west to south east split.
Southern and central regions have a good deal of fine and warm weather during the early part of the week but in the north west it may be more changeable with a risk of showers or longer spells of rain. Late on the more unsettled conditions in the north probably extend slowly southeastwards.
Changeable. [Forecast confidence is low.]
Generally mixed weather is expected with all parts of the country seeing showers or longer spells of rain, but also some drier spells. During the last third of the month the chance of drier and warmer conditions could increase, especially in the south and east.
Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.
Check the latest local weather forecasts using the place of postcode selector near the top of this page. Links below are to UK discussion and long range outlooks on the site.
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