The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from various global forecasting models combined with our own analysis.

May weather: Fine early and late

Issued 02/05/2017


Close to average


Slightly below average



1/5 to 7/5

Mostly dry.

Settled weather continues in most of the UK through the week. The highest temperatures and sunniest conditions are likely in the north and west, with cloudier and showery spells possible in the south and east. It will be pleasantly warm during the days in the west, but eastern counties remain cooler.

8/5 to 14/5

Becoming more unsettled.

Dry conditions are expected during the early part of the week and it could be quite chilly with a risk of nighttime frosts in the north. During the second half of the week a transition to more unsettled weather is probable. This leads to an increased risk of showers or more persistent spells of rain in all regions but temperatures are likely to climb.

15/5 to 31/5

Mixed but becoming warmer. [Forecast confidence is low]

Rather mixed weather is forecast during the second half of the May. Early on there is a risk of wet spells and temperatures will probably be close to the average. Towards the end of the month the chance of very warm and dry periods increases, especially in the south and east.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

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Check the latest local weather forecasts using the place of postcode selector near the top of this page. Links below are to UK discussion and long range outlooks on the site.

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