The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from various global forecasting models combined with our own analysis.

August: Warmer than average

Over the forecast period temperatures are expected to be slightly above average.

Close to average but with large local variations.

1/8 to 7/8
Unsettled weather with heavy thundery showers or longer spells of rain particularly in central and northern regions is expected during the early part of the week. Some hefty thundery showers are possible in the south too, but here there is likely to be more dry and warm weather.

During the middle and second half of the week it is expected to be become warm or very warm in the south with quite a lot of dry and sunny weather. Probably remaining more changeable and less warm further north west with an ongoing risk of showery spells of rain. Towards the end of the week the risk of showers could push south again.

8/8 to 14/8
During the early part of the week thundery showers are expected. The heaviest showers probably in the north west. Still warmer in the south east.

The second half of the week could see drier and warmer weather building across much of the country. North western parts of the UK are likely to have more changeable spells at times. In the south east there could be a risk of thundery showers later on.

15/8 to 31/8
Forecast confidence for this period is low. The second half of the month looks set to bring a reasonable amount of fine and summery weather to southern and central regions, interspersed with more changeable spells. Possibly very warm at times with the risk of thundery showers.

In northern regions more unsettled conditions are possible with showers or longer spells of rain at times. Drier and warmer spells too so that overall conditions shouldn't be close to or slightly warmer and drier than average.

Quick 7 day forecast links London - Birmingham - BelfastEdinburgh - Newcastle - Bristol

Important note about long range weather forecasts
It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.


facebook twitter Google+


Regularly updated discussion forecasts.

14 day outlook

Monthly outlook

Seasonal outlook

Christmas outlook