The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from various global forecasting models combined with our own analysis.

November: Changeable outlook

Temperature
Slightly above average in the south, close to average in the north.

Precipitation
Slightly above average.

1/11 to 7/11

After a very mild start wet and windy weather will spread eastwards across all parts of the UK with cooler and and showery weather then returning and lasting for several days. Showers could be heavy and prolonged at times and it will be noticeable colder than recently with temperature close to or slightly below the early November average.

During the middle part of the week it should turn drier for a time but this isn't expected to last for long with cloud and rain returning from the west. Heavy rain is possible and by the end of the week the south could be mild again.

8/11 to 14/11

The unsettled spell is likely to continue throughout the week. This means outbreaks of rain are expected in all regions, but they are likely to be the heaviest and most frequent in the north and west. Drier and brighter spells are likely in the south and east at times.

Temperatures in the north west probably close to average and in the south east close to or slightly above the average.

15/11 to 30/11

Forecast confidence for this period is low.

A continuation of the mostly unsettled spell of weather is probable. Wet and windy spells are predicted in all regions and in the north colder incursions are likely to bring an increasing risk of wintry showers over high ground.

In the south drier interludes are likely to be more frequent.

Overall this period temperatures are forecast to be close to average in the north and slightly above average in the south.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

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