The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from various global forecasting models combined with our own analysis.

May weather: Mixed but warmish

Issued 01/05/2016


Slightly above average.


Slightly above average.



1/5 to 7/5

Becoming much warmer.

Early in the forecast showers or longer periods of rain affect all regions and temperatures stay close to the average. During the middle part of the week it turns warmer and drier conditions develop across most of the UK although the risk of rain continues in the north west. Late in the week it remains warm or very warm but hefty showers and thunderstorms push up from the south.

8/5 to 14/5

Changeable but warm at times.

All regions can expect heavy and thundery showers or longer outbreaks of rain during the week. Despite this there should be some dry days and in sunny periods it is likely to be warm. Temperatures will probably be above average for the week as a whole. 

15/5 to 30/5

Changeable. [Forecast confidence is low.]

Generally changeable weather brings showers or longer periods of rain to all parts of the UK during this period but there should also be a reasonable number of fine days. It probably remains quite warm on the whole although there is a chance of cooler conditions developing. 

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

Other forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook

Check the latest local weather forecasts using the place of postcode selector near the top of this page. Links below are to UK discussion and long range outlooks on the site.

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