The month ahead
The monthly outlook is based on output from various global forecasting models combined with our own analysis.
March: Drier spells
Over the forecast period temperatures are expected to be above average.
Close to average.
1/3 to 7/3
A generally unsettled week is expected. Early in the period showers or longer spells of rain are likely to affect all regions. In the north quite chilly with a risk of sleet or snow over higher ground, but further south temperatures closer to average. During the rest of the period temperatures are expected to rise, and in the south it could become very mild later on. Remaining unsettled in northern regions, but southern and central regions having an increasing chance of drier spells.
8/3 to 14/3
A mixed week, but with drier spells probable in all regions. In the north west there is a higher probability of more changeable conditions persisting, bringing a risk of rain at times. Further south and east a higher chance of longer drier spells and above average levels of sunshine. Early in the period temperatures generally mildish by day, but possibly rather cold at night further south east with a risk of frost. Later on temperatures are expected to fall back towards the mid March average.
15/3 to 31/3
Forecast confidence for the second half of the month is low. Conditions are expected to begin quite changeable in the north west, but drier further south and east. Temperatures at this stage possibly still above average in southern regions, and close to or slightly above average in the north. Later in the period rather changeable conditions probably extending further south and east with rain or showers at times in all regions. Temperatures trending back towards the average. Rainfall amounts through the period are expected to be highest in the north west, and lowest in the south.
Important note about long range weather forecasts
It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.