The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from various global forecasting models combined with our own analysis.

February: Cold

Slightly below average, possibly below average.

Slightly below average, possibly below average.



1/2 to 7/2

A cold and wintry week is expected.

The first half of the week is likely to bring cold conditions across the country with a risk of snow showers. The snow showers could become heavy and prolonged in the north leading to substantial accumulations, and extend into southern regions. A period of rain, sleet and snow may affect western and south western regions for a time. Sharp nighttime frosts where skies clear and over areas with lying snow. 

Cold conditions are expected to persist during the second half of the week with sharp overnight frosts developing and becoming severe where there is snow cover. The risk of sleet and snow showers perhaps transferring to eastern regions, particularly East Anglia, Kent and Essex where it may become very cold.

8/2 to 14/2

Colder than average to start the week, but temperatures edging upwards.

The early part of the week probably remains cold and mostly dry in eastern regions, but perhaps with a risk of wintry showers near the coast. In the west and north west it may be less cold with a risk of rain which could turn be preceded by sleet or snow as it pushes eastwards. 

Through the second half of the week less cold conditions may push south eastwards, possibly bringing the risk of rain.

15/2 to 28/2

Forecast confidence for this period is low.

Through the second half of the month cold and more settled weather is anticipated. This period might bring significant snowfall to lowland areas in the east and possibly south of England in the form of showers. Conditions may be favourable for a widespread snowfall event during this period. North western parts of the UK possibly milder and more unsettled with rain at times.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.



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