The monthly outlook is based on output from various global forecasting models combined with our own analysis.
Slightly above average.
Below average but local variations during the second half of the month could lead to large variations.
Very unsettled weather during the early part of the week with strong winds and below average temperatures. Significant rainfall in much of the country but particularly the north and west.
Through the second half of the week a rather changeable pattern continues but drier and brighter conditions develop for a time. In the east it becomes very warm and humid with a risk of heavy showers and thunderstorms before cooler and showery air returns from the west. The south should then become mostly dry with reasonable amounts of sunshine but showers continue in the north.
Often dry and settled.
Most of the UK remains dry and settled through the week. Cloud amounts are uncertain but quite a lot of sunshine is expected. The sunniest conditions probably in the west and south west with a risk of more cloud in the north and east. A keen easterly breeze along with cloudier conditions could make it cooler in the east but on the whole daytime temperatures should be slightly above average. Nights may be chilly where skies clear. Towards the end of the week the risk of showers increases in the south.
Forecast confidence for this period is low.
Through the middle and second half of the month more changeable and at times unsettled weather is forecast. Local rainfall totals could vary significantly due to the showery nature of the rain. Temperatures varying but possibly becoming very warm and humid for short periods before a break down to cooler conditions.
Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.
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