Sadly Matt Hugo on Twitter this morning is very pessimistic about the weather for the next few weeks, no or little sign of summer coming up.
"Not looking good into early July either. Beginning to wonder whether it'll be a summer of 2 halves now or not."
"The 00Z GFS ENS mean continues to show a cyclonic and cool pattern across the UK up to the 4th of July"
"I'll take a look at the longer term trends tomorrow in a blog, it may not be want many want to hear/read mind, but what will be, will be..."
He's right what will be will be.
Remaining mostly below average for the forseeable future and if this comes off the much-anticipated notably cool summer could finally be in reach
I'd pay more attention to those forecasts if they were more definitive. I don't recall seeing Met outlooks stating forecasts such as "becoming widely dry, very warm and sunny" or "becoming exceptionally wet with heavily depressed maximum temperatures".
Yet we've seen both of these conditions during the last 5 weeks.
Yellow rain, that sounds serious.
Is that worse, or better, than yellow snow?
Amber alert now for the NW (England) "more than 100mm" rain possible in parts.
Putting aside the obvious negative connatations of the unsettled weather persisting well into July for the UK as a whole the updated 6 to 15 day METO forecast suggests the south and east becoming warm later in the period..but the 16 to 30 day forecast suggests average temps nationwide but a little below normal in the south east How do the two periods therefore merge one into the other based on such a contradiction?
Edited by user 23 June 2012 12:06:14(UTC)
| Reason: Not specified
theoretically, the 30 dayer should be altered if the 16 dayer badly contradicts it but i doubt that exeter see this as a priority.