No change over the past 4 days. I am still expecting the CET to finish at 13.2C based on the current output.
Very impressive considering how few below average June's we've had in the past 20 years.
11.8C on the 12th. I wonder where we are now.
In terms of a combination of cold and wet this June is likely to be the second worst on record in the central England area.
The CEP series (since 1873) has only recorded more than 100mm of rain 5 times (although 3 of those were in the last 30 years). After today's rain we are likely to be close to 100mm in 2012.
But only once have we seen a June CET less than 13C and a CEP of more than 100mm. That was in 1879 when the CET was 12.9C and the CEP was 109.9mm. We may not be too far off those figures in 2012 although it is unlikely to be quite as cold.
This would never suprise me - Indeed this is easily the worst summer month I have EVER known by a long way and easily the worst June.
June 1972 was incredibly cold - but no way was it wet, windy and miserable like this one.
It was cold and dry.
This June is reminiscent of August 1912 which had a lethal combination of terribly low temperatures, low sunshine totals and a hideous amount of rain.
Like this month really.
Very poor for June and with the record rainfall one of the worst summer months for many years!
It got to 29.9C last October, that was the absolute maximum for that month. Now when was the last time October recorded a higher absolute maximum than the following June?
It didn't happen in 1986 as that June recorded a higher absolute maximum than the previous October of 1985.
I know that Greenwich record a higher maximum during the October of 1859 than was recorded for the whole of 1860!
Also what about the last time that March recorded a higher absolute maximum than June?
So far this month the highest temperature has been 23.3C at Northolt on the 20th
In March the temperature reached 23.6C at Aboyne on the 27th
The current output suggests that we may reach 25C or so on Thursday of this week so we probably will see the March figure being beaten at least on one day. But it just shows how bizarre the weather has been this year.
I gather that is nailed on now already.
Apparently not - http://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twocommunity/yaf_postsm346811_Where-is-the-summer-moaning-thread.aspx#post346811
Depends on where you are - I know this link is a week old - but its nailed on just about in East Anglia - Take a look at these dismal figures.
unless those clouds scud away big time in the remaining half of the month, we’re again looking at breaking a sunshine record – for the wrong reasons.
The June with the least sunshine since Met Office records for East Anglia started in 1929 was a quarter of a century ago when in 1987 there were only 117 hours of sun during the entire month. So far this June we’ve seen 47 hours – day for day less sunshine than in 1987. Up till 1987 the dull June record-holder was the Silver Jubilee year of 1977. Could the Diamond Jubilee year go down in history for yet another reason?
The June with the least sunshine since Met Office records for East Anglia started in 1929 was a quarter of a century ago when in 1987 there were only 117 hours of sun during the entire month. So far this June we’ve seen 47 hours – day for day less sunshine than in 1987. Up till 1987 the dull June record-holder was the Silver Jubilee year of 1977. Could the Diamond Jubilee year go down in history for yet another reason?..."
The CET now stands at 12.67C which is dismal. The painfully slow rise continues for the next couple of days before we see a brief spell of much warmer weather and then a return to average conditions by the last day of the month.
Despite the warmer end to the month I still only expect the CET to reach 13.42C.
I'm not sure it will rise by that much GW. Using GFS temperature forecasts, which are good at projecting average maxima for a region (as opposed to absolute maxima, which is the only thing the METO ones are good for), I get a finishing value of 13.1c if we are at 12.67c now as you say. Of course, this will be sensitive to model output pattern changes
What ever the dismal stats show does not interest me at the slightest as there nothing to achieve it but extremely boring one.
Upto 24th now and only climbed to a cool 12.4c
I'm not doing very well in the guessing competition
Shocked that Philip's CET is still just 12.4. Will we even get to 13c?
Whatever, it does appear my prediction that we'd have the coolest June since 1991 has been quite good. It was pretty risky, so I'm relieved its come off.
What was the final result in 1991?
On Sky news this evening, they said it has so far been the wettest June since 1860.
Sounds about right to me though.
and look at that rain and lack of sunshine.