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March CET watch
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Hungry Tiger Offline
#121 Posted : 09 March 2012 19:38:13(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

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Location: South Cambridgeshire

Originally Posted by: Gavin D Go to Quoted Post

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger Go to Quoted Post

Its mentioned in todays Tele - that its expected this mild spell will run for a month and include the Easter Weekend.

That's cursed it

Gavin S.



Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.







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Brummie Snowman Offline
#122 Posted : 09 March 2012 19:52:57(UTC)
Brummie Snowman

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I wonder, could we see March warmer than April this year?

1998 was the last time that happened (March 7.9, April 7.7)
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Hungry Tiger Offline
#123 Posted : 09 March 2012 20:00:11(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

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Originally Posted by: Brummie Snowman Go to Quoted Post
I wonder, could we see March warmer than April this year?

1998 was the last time that happened (March 7.9, April 7.7)

That is something I would hate to experience.

You get your hopes up for a mild/warm spring and then get dashed by a cold April.

April of course can often be cold.

 

Gavin S.



Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

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muppet77 Offline
#124 Posted : 10 March 2012 07:04:41(UTC)
muppet77

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ok, cet watch up and running.

click yellow link.

looking like 8.5 at the moment.

click HERE to follow Maiden Erlegh School Weather on Twitter or click the display above to go to our website. WOW = 14014920 WU = IWOKINGH4
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Hungry Tiger Offline
#125 Posted : 10 March 2012 11:13:27(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

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Originally Posted by: muppet77 Go to Quoted Post
ok, cet watch up and running.

click yellow link.

looking like 8.5 at the moment.

 

Some very mild nights now - That will give the CET a hefty lift.

 

Gavin S.



Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.







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Global Warming Offline
#126 Posted : 11 March 2012 11:27:20(UTC)
Global Warming

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Location: Chineham, Basingstoke, Hants

My CET estimate currently stands at 7.15C.

Current prediction is for the CET to reach 8.1C by the 24th which is exactly 2C above the 1971-2000 mean

If the final CET came in above 8.4C it would be the warmest March since 1957

Edited by user 11 March 2012 11:28:36(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Live Chineham weather data http://www.weatherlink.c...ew=summary&headers=1 [Davis VP2]
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muppet77 Offline
#127 Posted : 11 March 2012 11:38:26(UTC)
muppet77

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I have added my cet forecast to signature below.

click HERE to follow Maiden Erlegh School Weather on Twitter or click the display above to go to our website. WOW = 14014920 WU = IWOKINGH4
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Hungry Tiger Offline
#128 Posted : 11 March 2012 12:15:06(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

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Amazing - Its good that it looks nice and mild and warm - Just what we want now.

 

Gavin S.



Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93metres asl.







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Steam Fog Offline
#129 Posted : 11 March 2012 12:22:37(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger Go to Quoted Post

Amazing - Its good that it looks nice and mild and warm - Just what we want now.

 

 

In fairness, maybe just what you want. I'd prefer it to be nicely mixed with some warm and sunny and some cooler rainy weather. But it seems for now more likely to be mild, dry and droughty. 
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Hungry Tiger Offline
#130 Posted : 11 March 2012 12:22:46(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

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I wonder what the chance is of getting a 10C in March. I would assume its possible.

A tough nut to crack though.

 

 

Edited by user 11 March 2012 12:25:28(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Gavin S.



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Brummie Snowman Offline
#131 Posted : 11 March 2012 14:26:33(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger Go to Quoted Post

I wonder what the chance is of getting a 10C in March. I would assume its possible.

A tough nut to crack though.

 

 

People thought an April CET of 11.8 was impossible, until it happened last year.

That proves extremes that seem impossible can happen.
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Gavin D User is suspended until 27/02/2149 23:16:37(UTC)
#132 Posted : 11 March 2012 17:55:36(UTC)

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Netweather currently have the CET at 7.52°C which is 1.22°C above normal
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lanky Offline
#133 Posted : 11 March 2012 19:10:53(UTC)
lanky

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Man

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger Go to Quoted Post

I wonder what the chance is of getting a 10C in March. I would assume its possible.

A tough nut to crack though.

The provisional monthly mean Hadley CET from the MetO now stands at 7.3 up to 10th March

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

An overall March CET of 10C could therefore be achieved by having a CET of 11.3 every day for the rest of the month

By a quirk of fate yesterday's "spot" CET was exactly 11.3 so all we need is another 21 days like yesterday and we are home and dry. Quite a big ask I would say but proof that it is possible in theory

Martin
Richmond, Surrey
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muppet77 Offline
#134 Posted : 11 March 2012 19:32:19(UTC)
muppet77

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I think that 9 is possible according to my calculations but 10 will be very difficult.

8.7 forecast at the moment.

click HERE to follow Maiden Erlegh School Weather on Twitter or click the display above to go to our website. WOW = 14014920 WU = IWOKINGH4
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Gavin D User is suspended until 27/02/2149 23:16:37(UTC)
#135 Posted : 12 March 2012 15:54:54(UTC)

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Hadley is currently at 7.6c which is 2.4c above normal
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Caz Offline
#136 Posted : 13 March 2012 14:42:21(UTC)
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Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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muppet77 Offline
#137 Posted : 13 March 2012 19:17:35(UTC)
muppet77

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don't know if I have got my calculation wrong, but the march prediction seems to be crashing with the last few runs.

click link below.

click HERE to follow Maiden Erlegh School Weather on Twitter or click the display above to go to our website. WOW = 14014920 WU = IWOKINGH4
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muppet77 Offline
#138 Posted : 13 March 2012 19:57:54(UTC)
muppet77

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.....yes the GFS run for my proxy station (Shawbury) shows some potentially cold temps for Saturday night and also Sunday night:

http://wxweb.meteostar.c...ample_C.shtml?text=EGOS/

click HERE to follow Maiden Erlegh School Weather on Twitter or click the display above to go to our website. WOW = 14014920 WU = IWOKINGH4
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Gavin D User is suspended until 27/02/2149 23:16:37(UTC)
#139 Posted : 16 March 2012 13:32:16(UTC)

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7.4c to the 15th which is 2.1c above normal
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muppet77 Offline
#140 Posted : 16 March 2012 18:31:05(UTC)
muppet77

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Joined: 13/05/2011(UTC)
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Location: Reading, Berkshire

the graph of CET predictions over time seems to be stabilsing out now and not crashing.

My forecast of 7.8 is not looking wildly wrong.

click below.


click HERE to follow Maiden Erlegh School Weather on Twitter or click the display above to go to our website. WOW = 14014920 WU = IWOKINGH4
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