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Retron Offline
#1 Posted : 29 May 2012 03:39:22(UTC)
Retron

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 11,027
Location: Leysdown-on-Sea

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon (GMT) on Saturday. Issued 0339z, 29/05/12.

ECMWF: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1201.gif
A ridge covers the UK, leading to light winds on both days 5 and 6. There's a col on day 7, followed by a weak trough on day 8. Another col affects the UK on day 9, followed by SE'lies and easterlies on day 10 as a trough moves northwards.

MetO: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1201.gif
MetO shows northerlies and NE'lies on days 5 and 6 due to a ridge to the NW.

GFS: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1201.png
The UK lies under northerlies as the result of a high to the NW. There's little change on day 6, but a weak trough moves southwards on day 7, leading to northerlies for Scotland and Northern Ireland and WNW'lies elsewhere. Day 8 has WNW'lies, followed by a col on days 9 and 10.

GEM: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rgem1201.gif
GEM has a ridge from the NW over the UK, leading to northerlies for Scotland and Northern Ireland and ENE'lies elsewhere.

JMA: http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run brings a similar scenario to GEM, with a high to the NW and a mixture of northerlies and ENE'lies for the UK.

In summary, the weekend will see high pressure to the NW and northerlies for many, with perhaps ENE'lies or NE'lies for a time in the south. Cold air aloft will move southwards over the UK, bringing the risk of frosts inland and of scattered heavy showers by day. Early next week a trough is shown to move southwards on both the ECM and the GFS output; this would bring a spell of rain for many as it moves southwards and weakens.

beaufort Offline
#2 Posted : 29 May 2012 04:12:56(UTC)
beaufort

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Joined: 04/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 29,663
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Location: Alderney

Thanks Darren.

Red sky at night Guernseymans' delight, Jersey's on fire.

Live Alderney Wx.

Puffin Cam
POD Offline
#3 Posted : 29 May 2012 05:55:57(UTC)
POD

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Joined: 13/08/2006(UTC)
Posts: 7,204
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Location: Caterham-on-the-Hill, North Downs, Surrey 189m asl

Thanks Darren.  Could do without the frost

Pat.
schmee Offline
#4 Posted : 29 May 2012 06:03:22(UTC)
schmee

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Joined: 27/07/2007(UTC)
Posts: 9,784
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Location: GUILDFORD

Hello and thankyou from Chris observing from Guildford Surrey with a life long like and interest in the weather TWO is the place to be; reading the output posting daily totals and reading the just for fun.
(1/2011/2000//4/5/2012/18:33/3000//25/8/2012/23:00/7000) God save the Queen and respect.
Dougie Offline
#5 Posted : 29 May 2012 06:48:52(UTC)
Dougie

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Location: Sidcup, Kent.

Thanks Darren

Haway the lads
Jiries Offline
#6 Posted : 29 May 2012 07:08:33(UTC)
Jiries

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Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 16,944
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Location: West Ewell home Sun-Mon. Langley work Tue-Sat

Thanks Darren

Romfordman Offline
#7 Posted : 29 May 2012 07:45:19(UTC)
Romfordman

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Joined: 27/11/2008(UTC)
Posts: 12,421
Location: Romford, Essex

thanks Darren

Richard
35m asl

I do not believe in a word that you say, but I will defend with my life, if need be, your right to say it.
Voltaire
wallaw Offline
#8 Posted : 29 May 2012 08:20:09(UTC)
wallaw

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Location: Stockton-on-Tees

Thanks Darren

Ian


Stockton-on-Tees

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