Just avoided that new low, but bounced along near the bottom for a bit. Something of a rally in the last few days. But that's only in comparison with the weak showing for the first half of April.
Yes and the downward trend seems now to have manifested in the welcome colder weather we are receiving here
Yes, there is a clear correlation.
Since the sun set this evening it's got colder here....
Is the time lag equally quick for the solar cycle?
Yep, things revving back up.
An interesting article regarding the Suns magnetic poles.
see - http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/predict.shtml
Solar Cycle Prediction
Click on image for larger version.
The current prediction for Sunspot Cycle 24 gives a smoothed sunspot number maximum of about 60 in the Spring of 2013. We are currently over three years into Cycle 24. The current predicted size makes this the smallest sunspot cycle in about 100 years.
[quote=nouska;328288]Some of you may remember the long thread that was started by Waterspout - in the early posts there was a table of cycle 24 predictions made by various researchers and institutions. In light of the current forecast of 60 that would put C De Jager closest. (They predicted 68)I thought it would be intersting to see what they had to say in recent works.http://www.cdejager.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/09/2010-Grand-Min-JCosm-8-19832.pdfBlog. http://translate.googleusercontent.com/translate_c?rurl=translate.google.com&sl=nl&tl=en&u=http://www.cdejager.com/&usg=ALkJrhgqFz3YWvemeyPP1LE3Br9HcSF_Ug[/quote]
Thanks for that. Interesting article that too. Grand minimum here we come.
So far May's been gently dropping away from late April highs, but not falling to early April lows.
About average for 2012 so far.
But a long way from the heights of last autumn.
Edited by user 13 May 2012 16:12:00(UTC)
| Reason: Not specified
I think it's worth pointing out that The Journal of Cosmology is not a serious peer reviewed journal. It seems to be some kind of collection point for scientific conspiracy theories and other crackpot froot-loopery.
The paper cited could have done with a run over with a spelling checker prior to publication too.
Edited by user 13 May 2012 10:12:46(UTC)
| Reason: Not specified
Thanks for the heads up.
You are right Ulric - we should be wary of those who cannot spell or have articles properly proof read. By definition they are likely to be unreliable. Also I would agree that if De Jager comes out as closest to the true TSI in the current cycle he is almost certainly just lucky, and serious discussion of his ideas does not warrant a place here.
Possibly already peaking and, if so, maybe the coming quiet period will be upgraded from equal to Maunder Minimum to colder than Maunder Minimum
The last week has been at the stronger end of the range 2012 activity.