Upgrade = downgrade in performance
The Amber for Worcester is genuine - it looks like there are genuine concerns about the impact of Sunday's rain on the local rivers.
I see the Met have released an amber warning.. for Worcestershire only??
That's a very small area that they have concentrated on.
I'm surprised they can be that precise?
Watches out for Tuesday for heavy and thundery rain in the south and strong E winds.
How Met Office currently sees May. Lots of "close to average" and a large scattering of changeable and unsettled. But not all bad.
UK Outlook for Friday 4 May 2012 to Sunday 13 May 2012:
Fine and dry across many northern parts of the UK on Friday with some sunshine, away from the cloudier east coast. Through Saturday outbreaks of rain and some hill snow will spread south. Largely cloudy further south with showers or longer spells of rain, especially in the far south, although with some drier and brighter spells at times. Thereafter, becoming largely unsettled across the whole of the UK. Showers may be heavy, thundery and possibly wintry over higher ground in the north. Becoming windier for many parts, especially across northern areas. Temperatures starting close to average for early May, but are likely to become largely below average with a risk of overnight frost in sheltered inland parts. Possibly becoming less unsettled by mid-may with temperatures recovering, especially in southern Britain.
Changeable weather is likely for much of this period. Showers or longer spells of rain are likely to affect most parts of the UK although rainfall totals are likely to be close to the seasonal average. Between the rain and showers, there should also be some drier and brighter interludes with sunshine levels also close to the May average. With winds often from a north or northeasterly direction, temperatures are likely to be close to or just below the seasonal average, but they could be a little above in any sheltered western areas at times.
Less unsettled by Mid May but with showers or longer spells of rain from 14th May.
Clear as mud.
Largely dry across northern parts of the UK through the weekend with some bright or sunny spells, but it will be rather cold with overnight frost. There will be wintry showers in places, possibly giving snow accumulations over higher ground. Further south, remaining predominantly unsettled with rain or showers, with a threat of hill snow across Wales on Saturday. Breezy at times and feeling cold in the wind and rain. The remainder of the period looks likely to stay unsettled across the UK. Heavy rain is possible in places, turning wintry across higher ground in the north. Daytime temperatures remaining mostly below normal with the risk of night frosts. Towards the end of the period, southern parts may see more dry and bright periods whilst it remains unsettled further north.
Updated: 1159 on Mon 30 Apr 2012
Updated: 1241 on Mon 30 Apr 2012
No temperature recovery now until the second half of the month
I notice that the cold at the weekend has been upgraded to wintry showers at low levels in the north
Edited by user 30 April 2012 12:25:50(UTC)
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April is the wettest month for 100 years
This has been the wettest April in the UK in over a century, with some areas seeing three times their usual average, figures from the Met Office show.
Meanwhile elsewhere in Europe...
Unprecedented April heat hits Central and Eastern Europe
New all-time April national heat records set over the past few days:Poland: 31.7°C (89.18°F) at Tomaszow on 4/29Germany: 32.2°C (90.0°F) at Munich on 4/28Austria: 31.8°C (89.2°F) at Ranshoten on 4/28Belarus: 30.4°C ( 86.7°F) at Zitovici on 4/29
Philip Eden on May.
RATHER COOL; CLOUDY AND DAMP IN THE SOUTH AND EAST
What a load of cobblers by the Daily Express!! - This is a new low...even by the Daily Express standards! http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/317838/Britain-facing-new-big-freezeMore like 0C or -1C or but -9C....Nonsense! But what I will say is if only this set up had occurred back in January or Feb!!
Edited by user 02 May 2012 23:47:53(UTC)
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Maybe some light at the end of the tunnel with better weather on the way for the end of May.
MATT HUGO TWITTER
"Latest EC 32 day has good continuation with a cool/unsettled weather type overall for most of May, before potential higher pressure late May."
"There are signs that as May progresses high pressure may become more influential, but particularly by the end of the month."
Edited by user 04 May 2012 09:36:34(UTC)
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Thats very interesting. I've just done my month ahead video forecast and I briefly have a look at the CFS V2 anomaly for June, which actually looks quite good. I do think we could be in for quite a reasonable June this year. No reason that change to better weather can't start in late May.
Hopefully we'll get some nice weather for late May and Jubilee weekends.
April anomaly maps from the Met Office.
Parts of the far north west were sunnier than average, parts of the south east around average, but much of the country saw below average.
Very wet for much of the country. Less so for the north west.
Generally cooler than average. Though closer to average in the south east.