Onwards
If you like warm weather then dont look at this mornings GFS! its a winter feast.
If GFS varifies we could be looking at an usually cold start to May with widespread frosts and wintry showers in the north, the Scottish Mountains would have a bumper skiing Bank Holiday weekend.
I havent seem snow in May since 1979 but that could change next week.
Its early days but *****C. could really be on to something.
Andy
Agree that it looks cool/cold for the foreseeable after a brief warm up midweek. From a southern perspective it could be a continuation of wet though. Slack or low pressure and cold uppers in May usually means one thing
Andy, Doc, didn't you guys get snow in May 1997?
Am going to stick by my May CET prediction, but have to admit it's looking decidedly dodgy for the forseeable!
Can only hope that the second half of May perks up because it's looking absolutely shocking and horrendous for the next 7-10 days. Wet and cold throughout.
YD must be dancing a jig of happiness!
No, May 1997. Check out Mr D's thread;
http://theweatheroutlook.com/twocommunity/yaf_postst7173_Early-May-1997--What-a-change.aspx
The one and only time that I have seen snow falling here during the month of May was in 1995 during a very cold northerly blast. The upshot of that though was the summer that followed is the best one I can remember.
I remember a June back in the early 60's Pretty sure it was snow and not hail
As more or less said usually the case you get a cracking summer after weather like this. Bet the water companies are loving this weather
Looks like the pattern of recent weeks wants to repeat, but with the trough centered further east than last time, giving cool but not so wet conditions.
Things do look to soon become rather complicated, though, as low pressure in the Atlantic moves towards the UK while tracking a long way south in order to get under the Greenland High. Does it then merge with troughing to our east, form a soup of weak troughs over the UK, or become dominant to our SW?
I looked at last night's 12z 'CFS daily' and saw that blocking to the north was strong until 29th May. It extended to our NE at times but never let go of Greenland for more than the odd day. Conditions were changeable throughout the month, at times very unsettled - but never on the scale of recent times.
Thats my thinking Dave as the trough pushes over us after 144hs.
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/brack2a.gif
Wet on Tuesday for some parts.
Edited by user 28 April 2012 09:42:14(UTC) | Reason: Not specified
I'm not an expert of those synoptic b&w charts, but would I be right to say that areas sitting under the waving occluded front would see continuous rainfall, whilst further north and south would expect heavy showers?
Yes remember it well, I was starting a new job that day. As I recall there was about 6" of snow up towards Lanark. As you say the summer that followed was a classic: 30c in Glasgow in June.
On topic, next weekend is possibly looking as chilly if not possibly chillier than this one: currently 8c here despite near uninterrupted sunshine.
I'd say there's a fair chance of higher altitudes seeing wintry ppn next weekend according to the latest output.I'm in the Brecons camping on Saturday night - at 940ft.
Andy, in May 1997 there was snow at relatively low levels in West Cumbria. Cars had a dusting of it one morning in Whitehaven when I was going to work.