Last Spring, or more precisely April raised the bar so high in terms of sunshine and warmth. It was the warmest every Spring, so we are 99% guaranteed a colder Spring than last year.
I feel this coming March will see the battle continuing between the cold block to the east and milder Atlantic air trying to assert itself. Therefore it could be quite a wet month for the NW, drier and colder the further SE you are.
For the rest of Spring i would say rainfall will be approacing what we would expect, so not as HP dominated as last year. And temperatures will be a little above average.
CET precictions
March 5.9c
April 8.4c
May 11.9c
Yes finally winter is drawing to a close and spring is almost here I would love to have another spring like last year that would be great, and to be honest I wouldn't bet against this spring having temperatures above normal.
It's been a while since we've had a cold, wintry Spring, 2008 was our last proper March snowfall here, since then, snow in March has been unusually absent.
Anyway, let's leave the Spanish plumes until they actually have any use, say, May? Looking forward to the storms already
Edited by user 12 February 2012 13:00:03(UTC) | Reason: Not specified
CFS suggests we lose a lot of the northern blocking in March and April;
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images3/glbz700Mon.gif
With high pressure generally favoured to the west and south-west. If these pressure amoms come off March and April might not be too bad at all.
Edited by user 12 February 2012 14:53:13(UTC) | Reason: Not specified
My predicitions for spring 2012
March Above average temperatures UK wide, Above average rain in the North, normal amounts in the south April Temperatures close to or just above average UK wide Above average rain in the North, normal amounts in the south May Above average temperatures UK wide Well below normal rain fall
A below average Spring
March
Below average temperatures UK wide
Wintry ppn never too far away during the whole of the month, a surprise disruptive snowfall possibleAprilTemperatures close to average UK wide
Rain more extensive in the South, wintry further NorthMayAverage temperatures UK wideWet spells quite frequent across the UK
I have a feeling there will be more snow flurries to come in March and it will be slow to warm up.
April will get off to a cool start but will bring warm sunshine towards the middle and end.
May will be very warm, sunny and dry.
And - pigs might fly!
Yep I can't wait to sort the garden out, get the roof down on the the car and have cheaper bills -roll on please
Dare i say it even felt a bit like Spring today for brief periods in the sun and out of the wind. The increasing light levels are getting really quite noticeable, as is the strength of the sun. Just a pity there have been quite a number of showers around.
The met office's probability maps have updated for February, they cover spring from March to May
850hpa temperature
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/images/prob_ensemble/20120201/3up_20120201_t850_months24_europe_prob_public.png
Precipitation
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/images/prob_ensemble/20120201/3up_20120201_prec_months24_europe_prob_public.png
Pressure
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/images/prob_ensemble/20120201/3up_20120201_mslp_months24_europe_prob_public.png
Edited by user 13 February 2012 18:00:31(UTC) | Reason: Not specified
Its my hunch that its going to be a cool spring which suits me just fine
Hope we get some decent rainfall but have a hunch we wont
Edited by user 13 February 2012 23:00:24(UTC) | Reason: Not specified
A snowy cold March followed by a just below ave April with plenty of 'April showers and a cool wet May
Dont shoot just yet
A cold wintry Spring would be most welcome
Anything to keep the thunderstorms at bay?
A cool spring, well the CFS charts currently show anything but a cool spring,
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images3/euT2mProbMon.gif
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images3/euT2mProbSea.gif - 3 monthly
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images3/euPrecProbMon.gif - Precipitation
I have no idea what the weather is going to do and I am not sure anyone else can make much more of a guess, but my gut feel is that we are due a very wet spring some time soon and it could just be this one.
March: Cooler than average but mainly dry
April: Just above average but with a lot of rain
May: Wet start, dry and warm end
I remember last year when people were doubting whether summer 2011 would be good given spring 2011 was following the same route as spring 2007 - and their fears were proved correct.